What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League forward, 25/26, 2,530 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Tammy Abraham has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Tammy Abraham in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 44 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tammy AbrahamAston Villa | 12 | 2.76 | 0.61 |
| Alexander IsakLiverpool FC | 14 | 2.14 | 0.63 |
| Donyell MalenAston Villa | 21 | 3.57 | 0.26 |
| Danny WelbeckChelsea | 37 | 2.22 | 1.19 |
| Wilson IsidorSunderland | 32 | 3.30 | 1.07 |
| Callum WilsonBrentford | 32 | 2.71 | 0.86 |
| These 5, combined | 2.67 | 0.93 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Tammy Abraham featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Tottenham19 Sep | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest12 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City5 Sep | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Arsenal31 Aug | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham3 May | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fulham25 Apr | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sunderland19 Apr | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest12 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| West Ham22 Mar | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd15 Mar | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Tammy Abraham have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Tammy Abraham has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Tammy Abraham average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Tammy Abraham is averaging 0.43 shots on target and 1.29 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Tammy Abraham get booked?
Tammy Abraham is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Tammy Abraham commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Tammy Abraham commits 0.43 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tammy Abraham?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tammy Abraham plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.