Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
VA

Valentín Barco

Full-back 75% of 4 recent starts ChelseaPremier League 26/27

Also in: La LigaLigue 1

Next match
Chelsea vs Bournemouth›
Sat 10 OctReferee Samuel Barrott

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 9 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 9 games

Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.42 per 90
22%
2 of 91.8×
3.40MGMEdge
Total shots1.27 per 90
67%
6 of 91.9×
1.49MGMEdge
Fouls won2.33 per 90
67%
6 of 91.5×
1.17bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.91 per 90
67%
6 of 91.3×
1.36bet365Edge
Tackles2.97 per 90
56%
5 of 90.8×
11%
1 of 92.8×
Cards0.42 per 90
22%
2 of 91.4×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 9
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 9
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 9 Premier League games, Valentín Barco has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% (2 of 9), 1+ total shot in 67%, 1+ foul committed in 67%, 1+ foul won in 67%, and been booked in 22% (2 of 9). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 9

Comparable central midfielders

Valentín Barco has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Ligue 1 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League central midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Valentín BarcoChelseaLigue 1 271.12 1.00
Alex ScottBournemouth 371.39 1.42
RodriManchester City 210.95 0.83
Boubacar KamaraAston Villa 180.44 1.08
Youri TielemansAston Villa 251.16 1.21
Elliot AndersonManchester City 381.19 1.54
These 5, combined 1.11 1.29

Recent matches

The last 9 games Valentín Barco featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Brentford18 Sep 87 0 1 0 2 3 0
Hull City12 Sep 21 0 0 1 2 0 1
Brighton30 Aug 8 0 1 1 0 0 0
Man Utd19 May 81 1 1 1 0 4 0
Chelsea15 May 45 1 1 1 2 2 0
Aston Villa5 May 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Bournemouth28 Apr 90 0 1 4 3 2 1
Man City25 Apr 90 0 1 1 1 3 0
@ Liverpool31 Mar 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Valentín Barco have a shot on target?

Over the last 9 Premier League games, Valentín Barco has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% (2 of 9). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Valentín Barco average?

Across the last 9 Premier League games, Valentín Barco is averaging 0.42 shots on target and 1.27 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Valentín Barco get booked?

Valentín Barco is averaging 0.42 cards per 90 over the last 9 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Valentín Barco commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 9 games Valentín Barco commits 1.91 fouls per 90 and wins 2.33 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Valentín Barco?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Valentín Barco plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.