What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Zian Flemming has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 100%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Zian Flemming in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zian FlemmingIpswich Town | 29 | 2.64 | 2.49 |
| Raúl JiménezWolverhampton | 36 | 3.02 | 1.88 |
| Liam DelapNottingham Forest | 28 | 2.84 | 1.98 |
| Igor ThiagoBrentford | 38 | 2.30 | 2.00 |
| Igor JesusNottingham Forest | 37 | 2.72 | 1.63 |
| Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United | 18 | 3.23 | 2.06 |
| These 5, combined | 2.73 | 1.90 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Zian Flemming featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Everton19 Sep | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Crystal Palace12 Sep | 27 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liverpool4 Sep | 24 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves24 May | 85 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal18 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Aston Villa10 May | 79 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| @ Leeds1 May | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Man City22 Apr | 82 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest19 Apr | 84 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Brighton11 Apr | 90 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Zian Flemming have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Zian Flemming has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Zian Flemming average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Zian Flemming is averaging 1.11 shots on target and 2.79 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Zian Flemming get booked?
Zian Flemming is averaging 0.42 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Zian Flemming commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Zian Flemming commits 3.20 fouls per 90 and wins 1.25 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Zian Flemming?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Zian Flemming plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.