Fernando Varela
Defender Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 23/24
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Fernando Varela has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Fernando Varela featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Famalicão17 May | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chaves27 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Estoril Praia8 Apr | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Vizela31 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Benfica17 Mar | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ CF Estrela Amadora8 Mar | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Vitória SC24 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Arouca18 Feb | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Rio Ave11 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Boavista5 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Fernando Varela have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Fernando Varela has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Fernando Varela average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Fernando Varela is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Fernando Varela get booked?
Fernando Varela is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Fernando Varela commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Fernando Varela commits 0.31 fouls per 90 and wins 0.94 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Fernando Varela?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Fernando Varela plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.