Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 25/26
MI

Miguel Puche

Forward FC AroucaPrimeira Liga 25/26

Next match
FC Arouca at FC Alverca›
Sat 24 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.99 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
Total shots3.31 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
Fouls won0.66 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls committed1.99 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles3.31 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.66 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Goals0.66 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Miguel Puche has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Miguel Puche featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
CF Estrela Amadora19 Apr 15 0 0 0 0 1 0
Estoril Praia6 Apr 13 0 2 1 0 0 1
@ Moreirense21 Mar 37 1 1 0 1 2 0
Benfica14 Mar 15 1 1 0 0 1 0
@ Famalicão6 Mar 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ FC Porto27 Feb 15 0 0 0 0 0 0
CD Nacional21 Feb 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Casa Pia14 Feb 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
Vitória SC7 Feb 1 0 0 0 0 1 0
Sporting CP24 Jan 13 1 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves 9 games Miguel Puche never booked 5.15cards/game 1.00×vs league
Iancu Vasilica 5 games Miguel Puche booked in 1 3.83cards/game 0.74×vs league
Carlos Macedo 5 games Miguel Puche never booked 4.14cards/game 0.80×vs league
Miguel Nogueira 5 games Miguel Puche never booked 4.47cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Miguel Puche have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Miguel Puche has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Miguel Puche average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Miguel Puche is averaging 1.99 shots on target and 3.31 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Miguel Puche get booked?

Miguel Puche is averaging 0.66 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Miguel Puche commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Miguel Puche commits 1.99 fouls per 90 and wins 0.66 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Miguel Puche?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Miguel Puche plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.