Matthew MacDermid
Matthew MacDermid has not taken charge of a Scottish Premiership match in 26/27. The figures below are a career record. Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games Matthew MacDermid has officiated, the average is 3.80 cards a match — 5% below the league average of 4.02. That splits 3.7 yellow and 0.1 red a game — a red in 1 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.1 to 1.7 a game, in line with the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 15.8% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Matthew MacDermid turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Scottish Premiership season on record.
| Measure | MacDermid | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.02 | 4.02 |
| vs league | 1.00× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| Fouls / match | 21.0 | 22.7 |
| Red cards shown | 11 | — |
| Matches on record | 62 (0 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Scottish Premiership games Matthew MacDermid took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United v Dundee FC26 Apr | 3–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Heart of Midlothian v Motherwell11 Apr | 3–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| Rangers v Aberdeen21 Mar | 4–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 32 |
| Dundee United v St. Mirren3 Mar | 2–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 25 |
| Celtic v Hibernian22 Feb | 1–2 | 4 1 red | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| Livingston v Falkirk FC4 Feb | 1–2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 30 |
| Hibernian v Rangers1 Feb | 0–0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| Hibernian v Motherwell10 Jan | 1–1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 26 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Matthew MacDermid give per game?
Matthew MacDermid averages 4.02 cards a game across 62 Scottish Premiership matches — roughly at the league average of 4.02. On a Matthew MacDermid appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.00.
Is Matthew MacDermid a strict referee?
Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Matthew MacDermid runs at 19.1% against a league average of 17.7%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Matthew MacDermid's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Matthew MacDermid's card rate?
It rests on 62 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.