Napier, Craig
Napier, Craig has not taken charge of a Scottish Premiership match in 26/27. The figures below are a career record. Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games Napier, Craig has officiated, the average is 3.20 cards a match — 20% below the league average of 4.02. That splits 3.0 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.8 to 1.4 a game, in line with the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 20% of those games (2 of 10), from a 15.0% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Napier, Craig turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Scottish Premiership season on record.
| Measure | Craig | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.70 | 4.02 |
| vs league | 0.92× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 15.9% | 17.7% |
| Fouls / match | 23.3 | 22.7 |
| Red cards shown | 7 | — |
| Matches on record | 20 (0 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Scottish Premiership games Napier, Craig took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock v Dundee United28 Sep | 3–3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| Ross County v Dundee United10 Aug | 1–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 |
| Aberdeen v Motherwell27 Apr | 1–0 | 3 1 red | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Hibernian v Ross County2 Mar | 2–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Ross County v St. Johnstone3 Feb | 0–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| St. Mirren v Motherwell16 Dec | 0–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| Kilmarnock v Livingston21 Oct | 3–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| Hibernian v Livingston26 Aug | 2–3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 22 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Napier, Craig give per game?
Napier, Craig averages 3.70 cards a game across 20 Scottish Premiership matches — 8% below the league average of 4.02. On a Napier, Craig appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.92.
Is Napier, Craig a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Napier, Craig runs at 15.9% against a league average of 17.7%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Napier, Craig's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Napier, Craig's card rate?
It rests on 20 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.