Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Serie A 26/27
AR

Ardian Ismajli

Centre-back 63% of 30 recent starts TorinoSerie A 26/27

Next match
Torino vs Udinese›
Mon 12 OctReferee Valerio Crezzini

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
6.50PPEdge
Total shots0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
3.40bet365Edge
Fouls won1.25 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.3×
1.40bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.68 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
1.50bet365Edge
Tackles1.13 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Ardian Ismajli has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Ardian Ismajli in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 53 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ardian IsmajliTorino 250.28 0.99
Mario GilaAC Milan 310.44 0.69
Jhon LucumíJuventus 290.31 0.90
Alessandro CircatiParma 310.27 1.01
Tarik MuharemovićSassuolo 320.63 0.76
Christian KabaseleUdinese 300.40 1.31
These 5, combined 0.42 0.93

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ardian Ismajli featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Bologna19 Sep 90 0 0 3 1 2 0
@ Fiorentina5 Sep 50 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Sassuolo29 Aug 23 0 0 0 0 0 0
AC Milan23 Aug 90 0 0 0 1 0 0
Juventus24 May 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
Inter26 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 2 0
Hellas Verona11 Apr 90 0 0 0 2 0 1
@ Pisa5 Apr 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ AC Milan21 Mar 90 1 1 0 1 2 0
Parma13 Mar 90 0 0 2 2 1 0
Officials on record
Livio Marinelli 8 games Ardian Ismajli booked in 2 3.79cards/game 0.90×vs league
Ermanno Feliciani 7 games Ardian Ismajli never booked 2.90cards/game 0.69×vs league
Giovanni Ayroldi 6 games Ardian Ismajli booked in 2 5.60cards/game 1.34×vs league
Luca Zufferli 6 games Ardian Ismajli never booked 2.89cards/game 0.69×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ardian Ismajli have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Ardian Ismajli has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ardian Ismajli average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Ardian Ismajli is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.11 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ardian Ismajli get booked?

Ardian Ismajli is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ardian Ismajli commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ardian Ismajli commits 0.68 fouls per 90 and wins 1.25 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ardian Ismajli?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ardian Ismajli plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.