What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A winger, 25/26, 889 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Assane Diao has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Assane Diao in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 33 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assane DiaoComo | 17 | 2.48 | 1.24 |
| Jonathan RoweAtalanta | 28 | 2.68 | 1.28 |
| Jesús RodriguezComo | 31 | 2.34 | 1.30 |
| Gustav IsaksenLazio | 30 | 2.70 | 1.01 |
| Gabriel StrefezzaParma | 14 | 2.13 | 1.86 |
| Matteo CancellieriLazio | 30 | 2.12 | 2.02 |
| These 5, combined | 2.41 | 1.47 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Assane Diao featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Frosinone20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Parma14 Sep | 55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Genoa4 Sep | 84 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli30 Aug | 65 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Udinese22 Aug | 45 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cremonese24 May | 83 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Parma17 May | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hellas Verona10 May | 81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| SSC Napoli2 May | 86 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Genoa26 Apr | 81 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Serie A official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Assane Diao have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Assane Diao has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Assane Diao average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Assane Diao is averaging 0.95 shots on target and 2.84 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Assane Diao get booked?
Assane Diao is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Assane Diao commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Assane Diao commits 1.30 fouls per 90 and wins 2.25 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Assane Diao?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Assane Diao plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.