What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Divock Origi has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Divock Origi featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Juventus28 May | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Spezia13 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Cremonese3 May | 63 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma29 Apr | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Lecce23 Apr | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bologna15 Apr | 70 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Empoli7 Apr | 70 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli2 Apr | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Udinese18 Mar | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Salernitana13 Mar | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Divock Origi have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Divock Origi has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Divock Origi average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Divock Origi is averaging 0.94 shots on target and 2.59 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Divock Origi get booked?
Divock Origi is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Divock Origi commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Divock Origi commits 1.18 fouls per 90 and wins 0.94 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Divock Origi?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Divock Origi plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.