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Premier League · 25/26
DI

Divock Origi

Forward · Nottingham Forest · Premier League 25/26

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Divock Origi has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, and 1+ foul won in 40%. He has been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 20 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.68
60%6 of 10
2.26
40%4 of 10
0.90
70%7 of 10
2.48
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Divock Origi featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Everton21 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 0
Wolves13 Apr 19 0 0 0 0 0
@ Tottenham7 Apr 22 0 1 0 1 0
Fulham2 Apr 20 0 2 1 1 0
Crystal Palace30 Mar 60 0 1 1 0 0
@ Luton16 Mar 75 2 3 2 1 0
@ Brighton10 Mar 60 1 2 1 1 0
Liverpool2 Mar 65 0 1 1 0 0
@ Aston Villa24 Feb 45 0 0 3 0 0
West Ham17 Feb 23 0 0 2 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Divock Origi have a shot on target?

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Divock Origi has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Divock Origi average?

Across his last 10 Premier League games, Divock Origi is averaging 0.68 shots on target and 2.26 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Divock Origi get booked?

Divock Origi is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Divock Origi commit or win more fouls?

Over his last 10 games Divock Origi commits 2.48 fouls per 90 and wins 0.90 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Divock Origi?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Divock Origi plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.