Duván Zapata
Striker 100% of 30 recent starts TorinoSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Duván Zapata has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Duván Zapata in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duván ZapataTorino | 28 | 2.72 | 1.20 |
| Caleb EkubanGenoa | 31 | 2.65 | 1.46 |
| Anastasios DouvikasComo | 38 | 2.61 | 1.42 |
| Francesco Pio EspositoInter | 35 | 3.26 | 1.66 |
| Roberto PiccoliBologna | 32 | 2.49 | 1.80 |
| Niclas FüllkrugSV Werder Bremen | 20 | 2.23 | 1.11 |
| These 5, combined | 2.69 | 1.54 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Duván Zapata featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma14 Sep | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sassuolo29 Aug | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juventus24 May | 56 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari17 May | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sassuolo8 May | 31 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Inter26 Apr | 23 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AC Milan21 Mar | 63 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Parma13 Mar | 29 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli6 Mar | 57 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Lazio1 Mar | 73 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Duván Zapata have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Duván Zapata has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Duván Zapata average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Duván Zapata is averaging 0.65 shots on target and 2.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Duván Zapata get booked?
Duván Zapata is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Duván Zapata commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Duván Zapata commits 1.51 fouls per 90 and wins 1.51 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Duván Zapata?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Duván Zapata plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.