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Serie A 26/27
LA

Lautaro Valenti

Wide centre-back 67% of 30 recent starts ParmaSerie A 26/27

Next match
Parma at Inter›
Sat 10 OctReferee Kevin Bonacina

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 48 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A wide centre-back, 25/26, 1,005 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
6.75MGMEdge
Total shots0.47 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
2.50bet365Edge
Fouls won0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.67bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.94 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
1.53PPEdge
Tackles1.41 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
10%
1 of 104.3×
Cards0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lautaro Valenti has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wide centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Lautaro Valenti in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 37 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lautaro ValentiParma 270.68 1.00
Strahinja PavlovićAC Milan 340.82 0.94
Nicolò BertolaUdinese 280.66 1.01
Matteo BianchettiCremonese 270.29 1.15
Saúl CocoTorino 350.44 1.34
Alessandro BastoniInter 280.68 1.80
These 5, combined 0.58 1.25

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lautaro Valenti featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Monza6 Sep 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sassuolo24 May 61 0 1 2 0 0 1
@ Como17 May 90 0 0 1 0 2 0
AS Roma10 May 90 0 0 1 1 5 0
SSC Napoli12 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Lazio4 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
Cremonese21 Mar 90 0 0 2 1 1 1
@ Torino13 Mar 28 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cagliari27 Feb 90 0 1 1 0 1 1
@ AC Milan22 Feb 90 1 2 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Marco Di Bello 4 games Lautaro Valenti never booked 3.63cards/game 0.87×vs league
Luca Pairetto 3 games Lautaro Valenti booked in 2 4.65cards/game 1.11×vs league
Michael Fabbri 3 games Lautaro Valenti booked in 2 4.29cards/game 1.02×vs league
Daniele Chiffi 3 games Lautaro Valenti never booked 3.81cards/game 0.91×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lautaro Valenti have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lautaro Valenti has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lautaro Valenti average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Lautaro Valenti is averaging 0.12 shots on target and 0.47 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lautaro Valenti get booked?

Lautaro Valenti is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lautaro Valenti commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Lautaro Valenti commits 0.94 fouls per 90 and wins 0.24 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lautaro Valenti?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lautaro Valenti plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.