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Serie A 25/26
LU

Luca Mazzitelli

Central midfielder 93% of 30 recent starts CagliariSerie A 25/26

Next match
Cagliari vs Juventus›
Sun 11 OctReferee Matteo Marcenaro

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A central midfielder, 25/26, 2,920 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.68 per 90
30%
3 of 101.6×
Total shots1.87 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls won1.53 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed2.38 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
Tackles2.55 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.6×
20%
2 of 102.1×
Cards0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Goals0.34 per 90
20%
2 of 103.2×
form only
Assists0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 101.9×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Luca Mazzitelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Luca Mazzitelli in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 106 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Luca MazzitelliCagliari 181.72 2.52
Luca LipaniSassuolo 241.05 2.45
Tommaso PobegaBologna 261.55 2.17
Gvidas GineitisTorino 291.38 2.20
Martín PayeroWatford 251.42 2.28
Suat SerdarHellas Verona 201.53 1.53
These 5, combined 1.40 2.14

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luca Mazzitelli featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Cremonese11 Apr 31 0 0 0 2 1 0
@ Pisa15 Mar 26 0 1 2 0 1 0
Lazio21 Feb 42 0 1 2 0 2 0
Lecce16 Feb 33 0 0 1 1 2 0
@ AS Roma9 Feb 59 0 0 2 1 1 0
Hellas Verona31 Jan 66 2 2 0 1 1 0
@ Fiorentina24 Jan 80 0 0 0 0 2 0
Juventus17 Jan 90 1 1 2 3 3 0
@ Genoa12 Jan 69 0 3 3 1 1 1
@ Cremonese8 Jan 34 1 3 2 0 1 0
Officials on record
Daniele Doveri 5 games Luca Mazzitelli booked in 1 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league
Federico La Penna 4 games Luca Mazzitelli booked in 2 4.32cards/game 1.03×vs league
Antonio Rapuano 4 games Luca Mazzitelli never booked 4.75cards/game 1.13×vs league
Francesco Fourneau 3 games Luca Mazzitelli booked in 2 4.28cards/game 1.02×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Luca Mazzitelli have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Luca Mazzitelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luca Mazzitelli average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Luca Mazzitelli is averaging 0.68 shots on target and 1.87 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luca Mazzitelli get booked?

Luca Mazzitelli is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luca Mazzitelli commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Luca Mazzitelli commits 2.38 fouls per 90 and wins 1.53 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luca Mazzitelli?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luca Mazzitelli plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.