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Serie A 26/27
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Stephan El Shaarawy

Winger 37% of 30 recent starts GenoaSerie A 26/27

Next match
Genoa vs Fiorentina›
Sat 10 OctReferee Fabio Maresca

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A winger, 25/26, 889 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.70 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
1.80PPEdge
Total shots1.86 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
1.20PPEdge
Fouls won1.16 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
1.33PPEdge
Fouls committed0.70 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.50PPEdge
Tackles2.09 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
10%
1 of 100.7×
Cards0.47 per 90
20%
2 of 101.8×
7.00PPEdge
Goals0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
form only
Assists0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Stephan El Shaarawy has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Stephan El Shaarawy in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 25 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Stephan El ShaarawyGenoa 202.47 1.37
Kamaldeen SulemanaAtalanta 252.23 1.16
Lazar SamardžićAtalanta 262.19 1.49
Tommaso BaldanziGenoa 182.28 1.14
Fabio MirettiJuventus 232.57 2.14
Giovanni FabbianParma 291.61 1.46
These 5, combined 2.12 1.44

Recent matches

The last 10 games Stephan El Shaarawy featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Parma20 Sep 30 0 0 0 1 3 0
Frosinone12 Sep 30 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Hellas Verona24 May 18 1 1 0 0 0 0
Lazio17 May 45 0 2 1 1 0 1
Fiorentina4 May 26 0 1 1 0 1 1
Atalanta18 Apr 60 1 1 0 0 0 0
Pisa10 Apr 45 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Inter5 Apr 26 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Como15 Mar 56 0 0 0 2 1 0
Sassuolo10 Jan 51 1 3 0 1 2 0
Officials on record
Simone Sozza 11 games Stephan El Shaarawy never booked 4.22cards/game 1.01×vs league
Davide Massa 7 games Stephan El Shaarawy booked in 1 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league
Marco Guida 7 games Stephan El Shaarawy booked in 1 4.14cards/game 0.99×vs league
Matteo Marcenaro 6 games Stephan El Shaarawy never booked 4.98cards/game 1.19×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Stephan El Shaarawy have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Stephan El Shaarawy has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Stephan El Shaarawy average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Stephan El Shaarawy is averaging 0.70 shots on target and 1.86 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Stephan El Shaarawy get booked?

Stephan El Shaarawy is averaging 0.47 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Stephan El Shaarawy commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Stephan El Shaarawy commits 0.70 fouls per 90 and wins 1.16 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Stephan El Shaarawy?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Stephan El Shaarawy plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.