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Serie A 26/27
TO

Toma Bašić

Central midfielder 97% of 30 recent starts VeneziaSerie A 26/27

Next match
Venezia at Atalanta›
Mon 12 OctReferee Paride Tremolada

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A central midfielder, 25/26, 2,920 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.35 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
2.80MGMEdge
Total shots0.59 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.36PPEdge
Fouls won0.71 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
1.44PPEdge
Fouls committed0.71 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
1.44PPEdge
Tackles0.95 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
20%
2 of 102.1×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
2.62bet365Edge
Goals0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Toma Bašić has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Toma Bašić in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 106 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Toma BašićVenezia 231.55 1.03
Piotr ZielińskiInter 341.27 0.79
Lucas Da CunhaComo 361.34 1.15
Youssouf FofanaSevilla 331.83 0.85
Gianluca GaetanoAtalanta 331.60 1.22
Kristjan AsllaniTorino 151.59 0.56
These 5, combined 1.51 0.96

Recent matches

The last 10 games Toma Bašić featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ AC Milan28 Aug 65 0 0 0 0 1 0
Lecce23 Aug 85 0 0 1 1 1 0
Pisa23 May 90 1 1 0 0 1 0
@ AS Roma17 May 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
Inter9 May 90 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ Cremonese4 May 90 0 0 1 1 1 0
Udinese27 Apr 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
@ SSC Napoli18 Apr 71 2 2 1 1 0 0
@ Fiorentina13 Apr 45 0 0 2 0 0 0
@ Juventus8 Feb 45 0 1 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Davide Massa 4 games Toma Bašić booked in 1 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league
Marco Di Bello 4 games Toma Bašić booked in 1 3.63cards/game 0.87×vs league
Fabio Maresca 4 games Toma Bašić never booked 5.35cards/game 1.28×vs league
Gianluca Manganiello 4 games Toma Bašić never booked 3.51cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Toma Bašić have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Toma Bašić has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Toma Bašić average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Toma Bašić is averaging 0.35 shots on target and 0.59 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Toma Bašić get booked?

Toma Bašić is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Toma Bašić commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Toma Bašić commits 0.71 fouls per 90 and wins 0.71 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Toma Bašić?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Toma Bašić plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.