Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 26/27
KO

Ko Itakura

Centre-back 100% of 29 recent starts Borussia M'gladbachBundesliga 26/27

Next match
Borussia M'gladbach at 1. FC Köln›
Sun 11 OctReferee Florian Badstubner

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.50 per 90
50%
5 of 103.5×
5.60MGMEdge
Total shots1.21 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 102.9×
1.91bet365Edge
Fouls won0.70 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
1.91bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.81 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.18bet365Edge
Tackles0.81 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 104.1×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Ko Itakura has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

Ko Itakura has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ko ItakuraBorussia M'gladbachUEFA Champions League 60.20 2.37
Moritz JenzVfL Wolfsburg 220.25 1.56
Robin HranáčTSG Hoffenheim 290.32 1.04
Albian HajdariTSG Hoffenheim 300.70 1.59
Arthur ChavesTSG Hoffenheim 150.42 1.10
Aurèle AmendaCoventry City 240.53 1.18
These 5, combined 0.46 1.32

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ko Itakura featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FSV Mainz 0519 Sep 84 1 1 2 1 0 0
@ SC Freiburg12 Sep 90 0 2 0 1 0 0
SV 07 Elversberg5 Sep 90 1 1 2 0 2 0
@ RB Leipzig29 Aug 90 0 1 0 1 0 0
VfL Wolfsburg17 May 90 0 1 1 0 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim3 May 90 0 1 0 1 1 0
@ Holstein Kiel26 Apr 90 1 1 1 1 2 0
@ Borussia Dortmund20 Apr 90 1 1 0 1 3 0
SC Freiburg12 Apr 90 0 2 0 0 0 0
@ FC St. Pauli6 Apr 90 1 1 2 1 0 0
Officials on record
Daniel Schlager 7 games Ko Itakura never booked 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Christian Dingert 6 games Ko Itakura booked in 3 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Sven Jablonski 6 games Ko Itakura booked in 1 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Robert Hartmann 5 games Ko Itakura never booked 3.86cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ko Itakura have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Ko Itakura has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ko Itakura average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Ko Itakura is averaging 0.50 shots on target and 1.21 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ko Itakura get booked?

Ko Itakura is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ko Itakura commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ko Itakura commits 0.81 fouls per 90 and wins 0.70 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ko Itakura?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ko Itakura plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.