Paul Nebel
Attacking midfielder 53% of 30 recent starts 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,094 appearances
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In 25/26, Paul Nebel has hit 1+ shot on target in 23% of 30 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 30), 1+ total shot in 57%, 1+ foul committed in 57%, 1+ foul won in 43%, and been booked in 13% (4 of 30). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable attacking midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Paul Nebel in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 41 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nebel1. FSV Mainz 05 | 30 | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Fabian RiederFC Augsburg | 32 | 1.45 | 1.72 |
| Malik TillmanBayer 04 Leverkusen | 29 | 1.81 | 0.96 |
| Lucas HölerSC Freiburg | 33 | 1.48 | 1.31 |
| Romano SchmidFrosinone | 34 | 1.72 | 0.57 |
| Eren DinkçiSV Werder Bremen | 22 | 1.87 | 0.71 |
| These 5, combined | 1.65 | 1.05 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Paul Nebel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ 1. FC Heidenheim16 May | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin10 May | 70 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ FC St. Pauli3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| FC Bayern München25 Apr | 85 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Borussia M'gladbach19 Apr | 76 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SC Freiburg12 Apr | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim4 Apr | 87 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt22 Mar | 90 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen15 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart7 Mar | 89 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Paul Nebel have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Paul Nebel has hit 1+ shot on target in 23% of 30 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 30). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Paul Nebel average?
Across 30 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Paul Nebel is averaging 0.35 shots on target and 1.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Paul Nebel get booked?
Paul Nebel is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Paul Nebel commit or win more fouls?
This season Paul Nebel commits 1.25 fouls per 90 and wins 0.86 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Paul Nebel?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Paul Nebel plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.