Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 26/27
TI

Tim Skarke

Striker 50% of 30 recent starts 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga 26/27

Next match
1. FC Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg›
Sat 10 OctReferee Tobias Reichel

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.77 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.90MGMEdge
Total shots2.83 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
1.10MGMEdge
Fouls won2.48 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
1.22bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.42 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.36bet365Edge
Tackles1.06 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
10%
1 of 101.2×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.71 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
form only
Assists0.35 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 25/26, Tim Skarke has hit 1+ shot on target in 18% of 22 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 22), 1+ total shot in 45%, 1+ foul committed in 36%, 1+ foul won in 32%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 22). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Tim Skarke in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tim Skarke1. FC Union Berlin 222.04 1.16
Shuto MachinoBorussia M'gladbach 322.16 1.16
Robert GlatzelHamburger SV 192.25 1.27
Marius Bülter1. FC Köln 322.35 0.95
Jovan MiloševićSV Werder Bremen 132.16 1.44
Damion DownsHamburger SV 121.15 1.31
These 5, combined 2.12 1.15

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tim Skarke featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Bayern München18 Sep 45 0 0 1 3 0 0
FC Schalke 0411 Sep 14 3 3 0 1 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen5 Sep 27 0 1 0 0 2 0
Eintracht Frankfurt29 Aug 29 2 2 1 1 0 0
FC Augsburg16 May 19 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0510 May 2 0 1 0 0 0 0
1. FC Köln2 May 23 0 0 0 0 0 0
VfL Wolfsburg18 Apr 22 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim11 Apr 28 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ FC Bayern München21 Mar 45 0 0 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
Daniel Schlager 9 games Tim Skarke booked in 1 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Deniz Aytekin 7 games Tim Skarke booked in 1 3.84cards/game 0.94×vs league
Matthias Jollenbeck 7 games Tim Skarke booked in 1 4.04cards/game 0.99×vs league
Harm Osmers 6 games Tim Skarke booked in 1 4.30cards/game 1.06×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 18 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tim Skarke have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Tim Skarke has hit 1+ shot on target in 18% of 22 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 22). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tim Skarke average?

Across 22 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Tim Skarke is averaging 0.73 shots on target and 2.04 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tim Skarke get booked?

Tim Skarke is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tim Skarke commit or win more fouls?

This season Tim Skarke commits 1.16 fouls per 90 and wins 1.31 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tim Skarke?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tim Skarke plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.