What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Timo Werner has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Timo Werner in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 29 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timo WernerRB Leipzig | 3 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Vincenzo GrifoSC Freiburg | 33 | 1.57 | 0.52 |
| Linton Maina1. FC Köln | 24 | 1.75 | 0.70 |
| Jean-Luc DompéHamburger SV | 20 | 1.98 | 0.16 |
| Franck HonoratBorussia M'gladbach | 28 | 0.77 | 0.54 |
| Chris FührichVfB Stuttgart | 33 | 2.35 | 0.31 |
| These 5, combined | 1.62 | 0.45 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Timo Werner featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen20 Dec | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Union Berlin12 Dec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ VfL Wolfsburg27 Sep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 054 Nov | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln28 Oct | 63 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Darmstadt 9821 Oct | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfL Bochum 18487 Oct | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Borussia M'gladbach23 Sep | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| FC Augsburg16 Sep | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart25 Aug | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Timo Werner have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Timo Werner has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Timo Werner average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Timo Werner is averaging 3.48 shots on target and 4.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Timo Werner get booked?
Timo Werner is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Timo Werner commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Timo Werner commits 0.58 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Timo Werner?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Timo Werner plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.