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Championship · 23/24

Huddersfield Town v Hull City

How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Huddersfield Town1 – 2 Hull City 17 Feb 2024
10/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Huddersfield Town lost to Hull City 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Jaden Philogene-Bidace for 1+ shots total (87%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Billy Sharp for 1+ shots total (79%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Rebecca Welch refereed this match

14 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jaden Philogene-Bidace shots total 1+ 87% 3
Alex Matos fouls committed 1+ 83% 2
Josh Koroma shots total 1+ 83% 2
Jaden Philogene-Bidace fouls drawn 1+ 80% 1
Billy Sharp shots total 1+ 79% 0
Noah Ohio shots total 1+ 78% 0
David Kasumu fouls committed 1+ 76% 1
Delano Burgzorg shots total 1+ 76% 2
Anass Zaroury shots total 1+ 75% 1
Brahima Diarra fouls drawn 1+ 75% 0
Greg Docherty fouls committed 1+ 74% 1
Fabio Carvalho shots total 1+ 73% 0
Ozan Tufan shots total 1+ 73% 1
David Kasumu fouls drawn 1+ 73% 1

How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
BTTS Yes 41% Yes
Match cards O4.5 35% 4 cards
Match goals O2.5 33% 3 goals

How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Huddersfield Town v Hull City?

10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Huddersfield Town v Hull City?

The most confident call it got wrong was Billy Sharp at 79% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.