Hull City v Huddersfield Town
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Hull City beat Huddersfield Town 1–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Jaden Philogene-Bidace for 1+ shots total (95%, had 4). Its clearest miss: Aaron Connolly for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Philogene-Bidace | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 4 | ✓ |
| Aaron Connolly | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ozan Tufan | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Scott Twine | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Hogg | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 6 | ✓ |
| Liam Delap | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 5 | ✓ |
| Kyle Hudlin | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Scott Twine | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ben Jackson | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 5 | ✓ |
| Liam Delap | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jaden Philogene-Bidace | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Aaron Connolly | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jaden Philogene-Bidace | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Hogg | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 27% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 24% | 5 cards | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 19% | 1 goals | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Huddersfield Town 1–2 Hull City Feb 2024
- Hull City 1–1 Huddersfield Town Jan 2023
- Huddersfield Town 2–0 Hull City Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Hull City v Huddersfield Town?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Hull City v Huddersfield Town?
The most confident call it got wrong was Aaron Connolly at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.