Hull City v Sheffield United
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Hull City beat Sheffield United 1–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Matt Crooks for 1+ fouls committed (85%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Tom Davies for 1+ fouls drawn (75%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Crooks | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alex Matos | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Danny Ings | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alex Matos | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 4 | ✓ |
| Chiedozie Ogbene | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Joe Gelhardt | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gustavo Hamer | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tom Davies | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Joe Gelhardt | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyrese Campbell | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gustavo Hamer | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 5 | ✓ |
| Tom Davies | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Darko Gyabi | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 3 | ✓ |
| Darko Gyabi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Shots total · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 51% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 45% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 31% | 4 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sheffield United 2–1 Hull City Apr 2026
- Sheffield United 0–3 Hull City Jan 2025
- Hull City 0–2 Sheffield United Sep 2024
- Sheffield United 1–0 Hull City Jan 2023
- Hull City 0–2 Sheffield United Sep 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Hull City v Sheffield United?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Hull City v Sheffield United?
The most confident call it got wrong was Tom Davies at 75% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.