Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Championship 26/27
AR

Armando Broja

Forward BurnleyChampionship 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Burnley at Watford›
Sat 10 OctReferee Andy Madley

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 5 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 5 games

Compared with a Championship forward, 25/26, 3,914 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.31 per 90
40%
2 of 51.2×
1.92MGMEdge
Total shots1.97 per 90
60%
3 of 51.0×
1.04bet365Edge
Fouls won2.63 per 90
60%
3 of 51.4×
Fouls committed0.66 per 90
20%
1 of 50.4×
Tackles1.31 per 90
40%
2 of 51.2×
0%
0 of 5
Cards0.66 per 90
20%
1 of 52.4×
8.50PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 5 Championship games, Armando Broja has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (2 of 5), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (1 of 5). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 5

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Armando Broja in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Armando BrojaBurnley 51.97 0.66
Kieffer MooreWrexham 82.49 1.15
Lyndon DykesMillwall 82.59 2.20
Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers 71.37 1.17
Miles LeaburnCharlton Athletic 81.61 2.90
Jimmy MorganWest Bromwich Albion 81.78 2.07
These 5, combined 1.94 1.94

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 5 games Armando Broja featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Swansea City12 Sep 8 1 1 0 0 0 0
Bristol City5 Sep 45 0 1 1 1 0 1
Middlesbrough2 Sep 13 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ West Brom23 Aug 57 1 1 0 2 1 0
West Ham16 Aug 14 0 0 0 0 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Armando Broja have a shot on target?

Over the last 5 Championship games, Armando Broja has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (2 of 5). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Armando Broja average?

Across the last 5 Championship games, Armando Broja is averaging 1.31 shots on target and 1.97 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Armando Broja get booked?

Armando Broja is averaging 0.66 cards per 90 over the last 5 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Armando Broja commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 5 games Armando Broja commits 0.66 fouls per 90 and wins 2.63 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Armando Broja?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Armando Broja plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.