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Championship · 25/26
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Conor Chaplin

Forward · Portsmouth · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Conor Chaplin has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 40 Championship appearances (9 of 40), 1+ total shot in 62%, 1+ foul committed in 42%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (4 of 40). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
0.58
70%7 of 10
1.74
20%2 of 10
0.44
60%6 of 10
1.16
20%2 of 10
0.29
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers
Sat 15 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Conor Chaplin featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Birmingham City2 May 69 1 3 2 0 0
@ Coventry City21 Apr 77 1 1 1 0 0
Leicester18 Apr 77 1 2 2 0 0
@ Middlesbrough11 Apr 90 1 1 1 2 1
Oxford United6 Apr 21 0 0 0 0 0
@ Norwich3 Apr 78 0 0 0 1 0
@ Queens Park Rangers21 Mar 30 0 1 0 0 0
Derby County16 Mar 63 0 2 1 0 1
Swansea City10 Mar 45 0 0 0 0 0
@ Blackburn Rovers7 Mar 70 0 2 1 0 0
Officials on record
Gavin Ward 7 games · Conor Chaplin never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Josh Smith 6 games · Conor Chaplin booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 5 games · Conor Chaplin booked in 1 3.20cards/game 0.80×vs league
Matt Donohue 5 games · Conor Chaplin never booked 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Conor Chaplin have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Conor Chaplin has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 40 Championship appearances (9 of 40). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Conor Chaplin average?

Across 40 Championship appearances in 25/26, Conor Chaplin is averaging 0.42 shots on target and 2.20 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Conor Chaplin get booked?

Conor Chaplin is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Conor Chaplin commit or win more fouls?

This season Conor Chaplin commits 0.84 fouls per 90 and wins 1.18 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Conor Chaplin?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Conor Chaplin plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.