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Championship 26/27
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Dastan Satpaev

Midfielder BurnleyChampionship 26/27

Next match
Burnley at Watford›
Sat 10 OctReferee Andy Madley

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 3 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 3 games

Compared with a Championship midfielder, 25/26, 6,962 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.32 per 90
67%
2 of 32.8×
1.75MGMEdge
Total shots2.21 per 90
67%
2 of 31.2×
1.05bet365Edge
Fouls won1.32 per 90
100%Hot
3 of 32.0×
Fouls committed0.44 per 90
33%
1 of 30.6×
Tackles0.88 per 90
67%
2 of 31.1×
33%
1 of 33.0×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 3 Championship games, Dastan Satpaev has hit 1+ shot on target in 67% (2 of 3), 1+ total shot in 67%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 3). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 3

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Dastan Satpaev in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Dastan SatpaevBurnley 32.21 0.44
Tyreece CampbellCharlton Athletic 81.79 1.10
Mohamed TouréNorwich City 72.17 0.99
Rumarn BurrellQueens Park Rangers 82.27 0.91
Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers 71.37 1.17
Tairyk ArconteMillwall 72.79 0.35
These 5, combined 2.08 0.91

Recent matches

The last 3 games Dastan Satpaev featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Middlesbrough2 Sep 81 2 2 1 1 1 0
@ Norwich29 Aug 90 1 3 0 1 0 0
@ West Brom23 Aug 33 0 0 0 1 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Dastan Satpaev have a shot on target?

Over the last 3 Championship games, Dastan Satpaev has hit 1+ shot on target in 67% (2 of 3). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Dastan Satpaev average?

Across the last 3 Championship games, Dastan Satpaev is averaging 1.32 shots on target and 2.21 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Dastan Satpaev get booked?

Dastan Satpaev is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 3 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Dastan Satpaev commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 3 games Dastan Satpaev commits 0.44 fouls per 90 and wins 1.32 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dastan Satpaev?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Dastan Satpaev plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.