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Championship 26/27
JO

Josh Key

Full-back 90% of 30 recent starts Swansea CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Swansea City vs Norwich City›
Sat 10 OctReferee Andrew Kitchen

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship full-back, 25/26, 2,019 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
3.75bet365Edge
Total shots0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
1.67bet365Edge
Fouls won0.70 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.98 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
Tackles1.54 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
10%
1 of 101.8×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
9.00bet365Edge
Goals0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 103.1×
form only
Assists0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.5×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Josh Key has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Josh Key in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 30 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Josh KeySwansea City 60.00 1.21
Kyle Walker-PetersWest Ham United 80.00 1.53
Ivan MesíkCharlton Athletic 70.36 0.91
Zak SwansonPortsmouth 70.38 0.58
Oliver SonneBurnley 70.74 0.92
Max ConwayBolton Wanderers 80.49 0.49
These 5, combined 0.39 0.89

Recent matches

The last 10 games Josh Key featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Burnley12 Sep 45 0 0 1 0 0 0
Wrexham5 Sep 90 0 0 1 2 2 0
Watford1 Sep 90 0 0 0 2 1 0
@ Derby County29 Aug 90 0 0 2 0 5 0
Sheffield United22 Aug 23 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Stoke City15 Aug 35 0 0 0 0 0 0
Charlton Athletic2 May 78 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Norwich25 Apr 30 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Wrexham13 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Portsmouth10 Mar 70 1 1 1 0 2 0
Officials on record
David Webb 8 games Josh Key booked in 2 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
John Busby 7 games Josh Key booked in 1 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league
Josh Smith 7 games Josh Key booked in 1 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
Anthony Backhouse 5 games Josh Key never booked 4.47cards/game 1.11×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Josh Key have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Josh Key has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Josh Key average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Josh Key is averaging 0.14 shots on target and 0.14 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Josh Key get booked?

Josh Key is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Josh Key commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Josh Key commits 0.98 fouls per 90 and wins 0.70 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Josh Key?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Josh Key plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.