What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 8 games
Compared with a Championship forward, 25/26, 3,914 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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In 26/27, Luis Vázquez has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Championship appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 25%, and been booked in 25% (2 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Luis Vázquez in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis VázquezBirmingham City | 8 | 2.55 | 1.91 |
| Freddie DraperLincoln City | 8 | 2.00 | 5.66 |
| Lyndon DykesMillwall | 8 | 2.59 | 2.20 |
| Mamadou DoumbiaWatford | 8 | 1.29 | 2.21 |
| Kieffer MooreWrexham | 8 | 2.49 | 1.15 |
| Miles LeaburnCharlton Athletic | 8 | 1.61 | 2.90 |
| These 5, combined | 1.97 | 2.90 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 8 games Luis Vázquez featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough19 Sep | 71 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Derby County12 Sep | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Norwich9 Sep | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves6 Sep | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Southampton1 Sep | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Wrexham28 Aug | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bristol City22 Aug | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sheffield United15 Aug | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Luis Vázquez have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Luis Vázquez has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Championship appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luis Vázquez average?
Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Luis Vázquez is averaging 0.64 shots on target and 2.55 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luis Vázquez get booked?
Luis Vázquez is averaging 1.28 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luis Vázquez commit or win more fouls?
This season Luis Vázquez commits 1.91 fouls per 90 and wins 1.91 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luis Vázquez?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luis Vázquez plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.