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Championship · 25/26
LU

Luke McNally

Defender · Bristol City · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Luke McNally has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
50%5 of 10
0.51
70%7 of 10
1.12
30%3 of 10
0.31
70%7 of 10
1.02
20%2 of 10
0.20
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Bristol City vs Millwall
Sat 15 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luke McNally featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Swansea City9 Feb 73 1 3 0 1 0
@ Oxford United1 Feb 90 0 0 0 1 0
Blackburn Rovers25 Jan 90 0 3 1 0 0
@ Sheffield Wednesday22 Jan 90 0 1 0 1 0
@ Coventry City18 Jan 90 0 0 2 0 0
Derby County4 Jan 90 1 1 1 0 0
@ Plymouth Argyle1 Jan 90 1 1 2 0 1
Portsmouth29 Dec 90 1 1 2 0 0
Luton26 Dec 90 0 0 1 0 0
@ West Brom22 Dec 90 1 1 1 0 1
Officials on record
David Webb 5 games · Luke McNally booked in 1 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 5 games · Luke McNally never booked 3.20cards/game 0.80×vs league
James Linington 5 games · Luke McNally never booked 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league
John Busby 5 games · Luke McNally never booked 3.82cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Luke McNally have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Luke McNally has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Luke McNally average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Luke McNally is averaging 0.51 shots on target and 1.12 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luke McNally get booked?

Luke McNally is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luke McNally commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Luke McNally commits 1.02 fouls per 90 and wins 0.31 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luke McNally?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Luke McNally plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.