Marcus Harness
Striker 37% of 30 recent starts Derby CountyChampionship 24/25
Also in: Premier League
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Marcus Harness has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 100%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Marcus Harness featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City3 May | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Hull City26 Apr | 80 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ West Brom21 Apr | 81 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Luton18 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Portsmouth12 Apr | 83 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Burnley8 Apr | 70 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Swansea City5 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Preston North End2 Apr | 89 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Plymouth Argyle15 Mar | 90 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Coventry City11 Mar | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Marcus Harness have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Marcus Harness has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Marcus Harness average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Marcus Harness is averaging 0.54 shots on target and 1.30 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Marcus Harness get booked?
Marcus Harness is averaging 0.33 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Marcus Harness commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Marcus Harness commits 2.28 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marcus Harness?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marcus Harness plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.