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Championship · 25/26
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Mateus Fernandes

Forward · Southampton · Championship 25/26

Over the last 3 Championship games, Mateus Fernandes has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% (1 of 3), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 67%, 1+ foul won in 33%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 3). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 3 on record

All markets last 3 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
100%Hot3 of 3
1.90
33%1 of 3
0.95
0%0 of 3
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 3
Next match
Southampton at Watford
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 3 games Mateus Fernandes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Stoke City23 Aug 90 0 2 0 0 0
@ Ipswich17 Aug 69 0 1 1 0 0
Wrexham9 Aug 30 1 1 1 2 0

Frequently asked

How often does Mateus Fernandes have a shot on target?

Over the last 3 Championship games, Mateus Fernandes has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% (1 of 3). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Mateus Fernandes average?

Across the last 3 Championship games, Mateus Fernandes is averaging 0.48 shots on target and 1.90 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mateus Fernandes get booked?

Mateus Fernandes is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 3 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mateus Fernandes commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 3 games Mateus Fernandes commits 0.95 fouls per 90 and wins 0.95 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mateus Fernandes?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Mateus Fernandes plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.