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Championship 26/27
IV

Ivan Varfolomeev

Central midfielder 80% of 5 recent starts Lincoln CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Lincoln City at Sheffield United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Josh Smith

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 7 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 7 games

Compared with a Championship central midfielder, 25/26, 3,484 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.20 per 90
14%
1 of 70.8×
Total shots0.99 per 90
57%
4 of 71.2×
Fouls won0.59 per 90
29%
2 of 70.6×
Fouls committed1.19 per 90
57%
4 of 71.1×
Tackles2.97 per 90
86%Hot
6 of 71.3×
17%
1 of 61.8×
Cards0.40 per 90
29%
2 of 71.8×
2.88PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 7
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 7
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 7 Championship games, Ivan Varfolomeev has hit 1+ shot on target in 14% (1 of 7), 1+ total shot in 57%, 1+ foul committed in 57%, 1+ foul won in 29%, and been booked in 29% (2 of 7). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 7

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Ivan Varfolomeev in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 41 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ivan VarfolomeevLincoln City 70.99 1.19
Alex MowattDerby County 70.34 1.51
Leo LeroyPreston North End 81.33 1.49
Kristi MontgomeryBlackburn Rovers 80.52 1.05
Ousmane DiakitéWest Bromwich Albion 81.12 1.40
Ugo RaghouberBurnley 81.36 0.97
These 5, combined 0.91 1.28

Recent matches

The last 7 games Ivan Varfolomeev featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Bristol City15 Sep 89 0 0 3 2 3 0
@ Preston North End12 Sep 31 0 1 1 0 1 0
Southampton5 Sep 64 0 0 1 0 1 1
Blackburn Rovers1 Sep 29 0 1 0 0 2 0
@ Bolton Wanderers29 Aug 85 1 2 0 0 6 1
Portsmouth22 Aug 66 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ Middlesbrough15 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 2 0

Frequently asked

How often does Ivan Varfolomeev have a shot on target?

Over the last 7 Championship games, Ivan Varfolomeev has hit 1+ shot on target in 14% (1 of 7). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ivan Varfolomeev average?

Across the last 7 Championship games, Ivan Varfolomeev is averaging 0.20 shots on target and 0.99 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ivan Varfolomeev get booked?

Ivan Varfolomeev is averaging 0.40 cards per 90 over the last 7 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ivan Varfolomeev commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 7 games Ivan Varfolomeev commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 0.59 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ivan Varfolomeev?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ivan Varfolomeev plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.