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Championship 26/27
RY

Ryan Hardie

Striker 63% of 30 recent starts Bolton WanderersChampionship 26/27

Next match
Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City›
Sat 10 OctReferee Thomas Kirk

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.71 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
1.44bet365Edge
Total shots2.83 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
1.05bet365Edge
Fouls won0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Fouls committed0.71 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Tackles0.71 per 90
20%
2 of 100.7×
11%
1 of 91.5×
Cards0.35 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
7.50PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Ryan Hardie has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Ryan Hardie in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ryan HardieBolton Wanderers 60.89 1.78
Mamadou DoumbiaWatford 81.29 2.21
Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers 71.37 1.17
Lyndon DykesMillwall 82.59 2.20
Mohamed TouréNorwich City 72.17 0.99
Freddie DraperLincoln City 82.00 5.66
These 5, combined 1.88 2.55

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ryan Hardie featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Cardiff City12 Sep 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Ham8 Sep 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Millwall5 Sep 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lincoln City29 Aug 18 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Queens Park Rangers22 Aug 31 0 0 1 0 0 1
Preston North End15 Aug 15 0 0 1 0 1 0
Watford13 Dec 12 0 2 0 0 0 0
@ Ipswich22 Nov 10 0 0 0 0 1 0
Queens Park Rangers13 Sep 61 2 4 0 0 0 0
@ Millwall30 Aug 70 0 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Oliver Langford 6 games Ryan Hardie never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
David Webb 5 games Ryan Hardie booked in 1 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Gavin Ward 5 games Ryan Hardie never booked 3.73cards/game 0.93×vs league
John Busby 5 games Ryan Hardie never booked 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ryan Hardie have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ryan Hardie has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ryan Hardie average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Ryan Hardie is averaging 0.71 shots on target and 2.83 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ryan Hardie get booked?

Ryan Hardie is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ryan Hardie commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ryan Hardie commits 0.71 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ryan Hardie?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ryan Hardie plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.