Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Championship 26/27
RY

Ryan Hedges

Winger 67% of 30 recent starts Derby CountyChampionship 26/27

Next match
Derby County vs Wrexham›
Sat 10 OctReferee Matt Donohue

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship winger, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.41 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
3.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.82 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
1.44bet365Edge
Fouls won1.02 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed1.02 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
Tackles2.86 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ryan Hedges has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Ryan Hedges in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ryan HedgesDerby County 71.00 0.75
Moussa Kounfolo YeoSwansea City 81.57 1.22
Reeco Hackett-FairchildLincoln City 82.22 0.55
Kuryu MatsukiSouthampton 81.63 1.30
Othmane MaammaWatford 81.53 0.96
Yu HirakawaBristol City 82.13 1.24
These 5, combined 1.81 1.07

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ryan Hedges featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Burnley19 Sep 66 1 2 1 0 5 0
Birmingham City12 Sep 21 0 0 0 0 1 0
West Brom9 Sep 45 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ West Ham5 Sep 71 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Portsmouth1 Sep 86 0 1 0 2 3 0
Swansea City29 Aug 45 0 0 1 0 2 0
Cardiff City22 Aug 25 0 0 1 2 1 0
Coventry City17 Apr 19 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ Southampton14 Apr 17 0 0 0 0 0 0
Wrexham1 Jan 45 0 0 1 0 2 0
Officials on record
David Webb 10 games Ryan Hedges never booked 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Oliver Langford 10 games Ryan Hedges never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Josh Smith 9 games Ryan Hedges never booked 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
John Busby 7 games Ryan Hedges never booked 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ryan Hedges have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ryan Hedges has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ryan Hedges average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Ryan Hedges is averaging 0.41 shots on target and 0.82 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ryan Hedges get booked?

Ryan Hedges is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ryan Hedges commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ryan Hedges commits 1.02 fouls per 90 and wins 1.02 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ryan Hedges?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ryan Hedges plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.