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Championship 26/27
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Tom Fellows

Winger 57% of 30 recent starts SouthamptonChampionship 26/27

Next match
Southampton vs Portsmouth›
Sun 11 OctReferee Adam Herczeg

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship winger, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
3.25bet365Edge
Total shots0.67 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
1.44bet365Edge
Fouls won1.01 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.40bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.18 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
1.57bet365Edge
Tackles0.50 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
6.50bet365Edge
Goals0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Assists0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Tom Fellows has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Tom Fellows in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tom FellowsSouthampton 60.64 0.96
Othmane MaammaWatford 81.53 0.96
Delano BurgzorgPreston North End 71.57 0.59
Thierry GaleBolton Wanderers 81.49 0.66
Reeco Hackett-FairchildLincoln City 82.22 0.55
Kuryu MatsukiSouthampton 81.63 1.30
These 5, combined 1.68 0.82

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tom Fellows featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Wrexham19 Sep 14 0 0 0 1 0 0
Bristol City12 Sep 21 0 0 0 0 0 0
Swansea City8 Sep 76 0 0 2 0 0 0
@ Birmingham City1 Sep 61 0 1 1 1 0 0
Millwall29 Aug 19 1 1 0 0 0 1
Stoke City22 Aug 89 0 0 0 3 1 0
@ Middlesbrough9 May 69 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Preston North End2 May 84 0 2 0 1 0 0
Ipswich28 Apr 69 0 0 1 0 2 0
Bristol City21 Apr 33 0 0 2 0 0 0
Officials on record
David Webb 9 games Tom Fellows never booked 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 8 games Tom Fellows booked in 1 3.21cards/game 0.80×vs league
Sam Allison 7 games Tom Fellows never booked 3.72cards/game 0.93×vs league
Tom Nield 7 games Tom Fellows never booked 3.87cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tom Fellows have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Tom Fellows has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tom Fellows average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Tom Fellows is averaging 0.17 shots on target and 0.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tom Fellows get booked?

Tom Fellows is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tom Fellows commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Tom Fellows commits 1.18 fouls per 90 and wins 1.01 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tom Fellows?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tom Fellows plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.