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SharpXI©
La Liga 26/27
NE

Nelson Deossa

Central midfielder 73% of 11 recent starts Real BetisLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Real Betis vs Osasuna›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 27 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga central midfielder, 25/26, 2,700 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.01 per 90
30%
3 of 101.8×
2.35MGMEdge
Total shots3.03 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.8×
1.10PPEdge
Fouls won1.21 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.05bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.82 per 90
70%
7 of 101.2×
1.33bet365Edge
Tackles2.22 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
29%
2 of 73.5×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.75bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.20 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Nelson Deossa has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Nelson Deossa in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 29 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nelson DeossaReal Betis 73.89 1.94
Kang-in LeeAtlético Madrid 73.84 2.11
Jude BellinghamReal Madrid 72.72 1.02
Carlos DotorMálaga CF 70.73 1.45
Filip UgrinićValencia 71.06 0.71
Edu ExpósitoEspanyol 82.39 0.84
These 5, combined 2.15 1.19

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nelson Deossa featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Deportivo de A Coruña20 Sep 61 0 1 2 0 3 0
Getafe17 Sep 95 0 2 2 3 3 0
@ Villarreal14 Sep 23 2 3 0 0 0 0
Real Madrid4 Sep 22 2 2 1 0 0 0
@ Levante UD30 Aug 23 0 1 1 0 2 0
Real Sociedad23 Aug 10 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Valencia16 Aug 90 0 4 1 1 2 0
@ FC Barcelona17 May 90 0 1 1 1 1 0
@ Real Sociedad9 May 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
Real Oviedo3 May 20 0 0 1 1 0 0
Officials on record
Francisco Hernandez Maeso 3 games Nelson Deossa booked in 1 4.26cards/game 0.88×vs league
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos 3 games Nelson Deossa never booked 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nelson Deossa have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Nelson Deossa has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nelson Deossa average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Nelson Deossa is averaging 1.01 shots on target and 3.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nelson Deossa get booked?

Nelson Deossa is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nelson Deossa commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nelson Deossa commits 1.82 fouls per 90 and wins 1.21 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nelson Deossa?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nelson Deossa plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.