Josué Casimir
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 winger, 25/26, 1,137 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Josué Casimir has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Josué Casimir in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 41 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josué CasimirAuxerre | 31 | 1.29 | 2.00 |
| Ngal'ayel MukauLille | 30 | 1.15 | 1.55 |
| Eric EbimbeFC Schalke 04 | 27 | 2.06 | 1.68 |
| Rémy CabellaNantes | 11 | 1.41 | 1.10 |
| Jonathan IkonéParis FC | 23 | 2.04 | 1.06 |
| Adam KarabecOlympique Lyonnais | 21 | 0.86 | 1.34 |
| These 5, combined | 1.51 | 1.39 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Josué Casimir featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers29 Aug | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ RC Lens22 Aug | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Lille17 May | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nice10 May | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Angers3 May | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Olympique Lyonnais25 Apr | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ AS Monaco19 Apr | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Le Havre5 Apr | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Stade Brestois21 Mar | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille13 Mar | 75 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Josué Casimir have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Josué Casimir has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Josué Casimir average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Josué Casimir is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 1.14 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Josué Casimir get booked?
Josué Casimir is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Josué Casimir commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Josué Casimir commits 2.67 fouls per 90 and wins 1.91 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Josué Casimir?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Josué Casimir plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.