Moustapha Mbow
Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts Paris FCLigue 1 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 centre-back, 25/26, 1,295 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Moustapha Mbow has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Moustapha Mbow in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 57 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moustapha MbowParis FC | 31 | 0.33 | 0.93 |
| Gautier LlorisStade Brestois | 29 | 0.41 | 1.01 |
| Ousmane CamaraAngers | 32 | 0.43 | 0.73 |
| Kojo Peprah OppongFenerbahçe | 31 | 0.41 | 1.07 |
| Brendan ChardonnetStade Brestois | 29 | 0.42 | 0.99 |
| Lilian BrassierEintracht Frankfurt | 27 | 0.40 | 1.08 |
| These 5, combined | 0.42 | 0.97 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Moustapha Mbow featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Strasbourg19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille6 Sep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Troyes22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Stade Rennais10 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade Brestois3 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Lille26 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| AS Monaco10 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lorient5 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Le Havre22 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ RC Strasbourg15 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Moustapha Mbow have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Moustapha Mbow has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Moustapha Mbow average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Moustapha Mbow is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.44 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Moustapha Mbow get booked?
Moustapha Mbow is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Moustapha Mbow commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Moustapha Mbow commits 1.11 fouls per 90 and wins 0.22 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Moustapha Mbow?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Moustapha Mbow plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.