Otávio
In 25/26, Otávio has hit 1+ shot on target in 13% of 23 Ligue 1 appearances (3 of 23), 1+ total shot in 43%, 1+ foul committed in 78%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 30% (7 of 23). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Otávio featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain17 May | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Metz19 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Le Havre22 Mar | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Toulouse21 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| RC Lens14 Feb | 74 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Auxerre8 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique de Marseille31 Jan | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Angers25 Jan | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nantes18 Jan | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Paris Saint-Germain4 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Otávio have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Otávio has hit 1+ shot on target in 13% of 23 Ligue 1 appearances (3 of 23). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Otávio average?
Across 23 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Otávio is averaging 0.14 shots on target and 0.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Otávio get booked?
Otávio is averaging 0.33 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Otávio commit or win more fouls?
This season Otávio commits 1.13 fouls per 90 and wins 1.56 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Otávio?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Otávio plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.