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Ligue 1 · 25/26
PA

Paul Joly

Defender · Auxerre · Ligue 1 25/26

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Paul Joly has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 36 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.35
20%2 of 10
0.69
40%4 of 10
2.08
30%3 of 10
1.04
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Auxerre at RC Lens
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Paul Joly featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Paris Saint-Germain17 May 90 0 0 0 3 0
Nantes10 May 11 0 0 1 1 0
Le Havre4 May 73 0 1 1 1 0
@ RC Lens27 Apr 12 1 1 0 1 0
@ Lille20 Apr 11 0 0 0 0 0
Olympique Lyonnais13 Apr 19 0 0 0 0 0
@ Stade Rennais6 Apr 18 0 0 0 0 0
Montpellier30 Mar 8 0 0 0 0 0
@ Stade de Reims9 Mar 10 0 0 1 0 0
RC Strasbourg2 Mar 8 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Marc Bollengier 4 games · Paul Joly booked in 1 3.76cards/game 0.97×vs league
Mathieu Vernice 4 games · Paul Joly booked in 1 4.40cards/game 1.13×vs league
Abdelatif Kherradji 3 games · Paul Joly booked in 1 3.86cards/game 0.99×vs league
Jeremy Stinat 3 games · Paul Joly booked in 1 3.92cards/game 1.01×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Paul Joly have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Paul Joly has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Paul Joly average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Paul Joly is averaging 0.35 shots on target and 0.69 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Paul Joly get booked?

Paul Joly is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Paul Joly commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Paul Joly commits 1.04 fouls per 90 and wins 2.08 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Paul Joly?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Paul Joly plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.