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SharpXI©
Premier League 22/23
DE

Demarai Gray

Winger 52% of 27 recent starts Birmingham CityPremier League 22/23

Also in: Championship

Next match
Birmingham City at Hull City›
Sun 11 OctReferee Michael Salisbury

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 33 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.84 per 90
60%
6 of 101.8×
Total shots2.28 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
Fouls won2.76 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.7×
Fouls committed1.56 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.9×
Tackles1.92 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.9×
11%
1 of 91.0×
Cards0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
Goals0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Demarai Gray has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Demarai Gray featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Bournemouth28 May 87 1 4 1 2 0 0
@ Wolves20 May 45 1 3 1 2 2 0
Man City14 May 15 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Crystal Palace22 Apr 82 0 0 2 5 2 0
Fulham15 Apr 90 1 3 3 0 2 1
@ Man Utd8 Apr 90 0 1 1 2 2 0
Tottenham3 Apr 77 1 2 0 5 1 0
@ Chelsea18 Mar 90 0 1 2 3 1 0
Brentford11 Mar 86 2 3 2 3 3 0
@ Nottingham Forest5 Mar 89 1 2 1 1 1 1
Officials on record
John Brooks 5 games Demarai Gray booked in 1 4.59cards/game 1.12×vs league
Michael Oliver 4 games Demarai Gray never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Craig Pawson 3 games Demarai Gray never booked 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Demarai Gray have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Demarai Gray has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Demarai Gray average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Demarai Gray is averaging 0.84 shots on target and 2.28 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Demarai Gray get booked?

Demarai Gray is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Demarai Gray commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Demarai Gray commits 1.56 fouls per 90 and wins 2.76 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Demarai Gray?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Demarai Gray plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.