Demarai Gray
Winger 82% of 28 recent starts Birmingham CityChampionship 26/27
Also in: Premier League
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship winger, 25/26, 2,357 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Demarai Gray has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Demarai Gray in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demarai GrayBirmingham City | 5 | 2.79 | 3.49 |
| Yu HirakawaBristol City | 8 | 2.13 | 1.24 |
| Oladapo AfolayanBlackburn Rovers | 8 | 3.01 | 1.58 |
| Kuryu MatsukiSouthampton | 8 | 1.63 | 1.30 |
| Aaron RamseyBurnley | 7 | 3.74 | 1.18 |
| Othmane MaammaWatford | 8 | 1.53 | 0.96 |
| These 5, combined | 2.39 | 1.27 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Demarai Gray featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves6 Sep | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Southampton1 Sep | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wrexham28 Aug | 45 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bristol City22 Aug | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sheffield United15 Aug | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bristol City25 Apr | 70 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Preston North End22 Apr | 53 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City18 Apr | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Wrexham12 Apr | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Ipswich6 Apr | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Demarai Gray have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Demarai Gray has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Demarai Gray average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Demarai Gray is averaging 1.04 shots on target and 2.85 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Demarai Gray get booked?
Demarai Gray is averaging 0.52 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Demarai Gray commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Demarai Gray commits 1.82 fouls per 90 and wins 1.04 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Demarai Gray?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Demarai Gray plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.