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Premier League 25/26
GA

Gabriel Martinelli

Winger 97% of 30 recent starts ArsenalPremier League 25/26

Next match
Arsenal vs Leeds United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Paul Tierney

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.99 per 90
50%
5 of 101.5×
Total shots1.59 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
Fouls won0.59 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed0.79 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Tackles0.79 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
10%
1 of 100.9×
Cards0.20 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.40 per 90
20%
2 of 102.4×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Gabriel Martinelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Gabriel Martinelli in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Gabriel MartinelliArsenal 302.42 0.83
SavinhoTottenham Hotspur 242.13 0.96
Anthony GordonNewcastle United 262.38 0.64
Jacob MurphyNewcastle United 332.32 0.50
Loum TchaounaCoventry City 291.57 0.89
Dango OuattaraBrentford 322.21 1.07
These 5, combined 2.16 0.81

Recent matches

The last 10 games Gabriel Martinelli featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Crystal Palace24 May 90 1 1 0 1 0 0
Burnley18 May 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Newcastle25 Apr 37 1 2 2 0 1 1
@ Man City19 Apr 45 1 1 1 0 1 0
Bournemouth11 Apr 54 0 0 0 0 0 0
Everton14 Mar 29 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ Brighton4 Mar 60 0 1 0 1 0 0
Chelsea1 Mar 34 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Tottenham22 Feb 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Wolves18 Feb 90 1 2 0 0 2 0
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 17 games Gabriel Martinelli never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Chris Kavanagh 13 games Gabriel Martinelli booked in 1 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Paul Tierney 9 games Gabriel Martinelli never booked 3.74cards/game 0.92×vs league
Samuel Barrott 7 games Gabriel Martinelli booked in 2 3.92cards/game 0.96×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Gabriel Martinelli have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Gabriel Martinelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Gabriel Martinelli average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Gabriel Martinelli is averaging 0.99 shots on target and 1.59 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Gabriel Martinelli get booked?

Gabriel Martinelli is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Gabriel Martinelli commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Gabriel Martinelli commits 0.79 fouls per 90 and wins 0.59 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gabriel Martinelli?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Gabriel Martinelli plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.