What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Harvey Elliott has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 0%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Harvey Elliott in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 87 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harvey ElliottValencia | 5 | 3.85 | 0.00 |
| Tom CairneyFulham | 24 | 1.90 | 1.12 |
| Tijjani ReijndersManchester City | 28 | 2.69 | 1.04 |
| Martin ØdegaardArsenal | 24 | 1.45 | 0.59 |
| Phil FodenManchester City | 33 | 2.35 | 0.77 |
| Sandro TonaliTottenham Hotspur | 35 | 1.31 | 0.85 |
| These 5, combined | 1.91 | 0.85 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Harvey Elliott featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford1 Feb | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fulham28 Sep | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland21 Sep | 32 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Everton13 Sep | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle25 Aug | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace25 May | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brighton19 May | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Arsenal11 May | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea4 May | 69 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham27 Apr | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Harvey Elliott have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Harvey Elliott has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Harvey Elliott average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Harvey Elliott is averaging 0.57 shots on target and 3.43 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Harvey Elliott get booked?
Harvey Elliott is averaging 0.29 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Harvey Elliott commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Harvey Elliott commits 0.00 fouls per 90 and wins 0.86 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Harvey Elliott?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Harvey Elliott plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.