What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League goalkeeper, 25/26 · 766 appearances
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Illan Meslier has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 0%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Illan Meslier featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Bournemouth30 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leicester25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fulham22 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liverpool17 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace9 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest4 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal1 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Wolves18 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brighton11 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea4 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Illan Meslier have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Illan Meslier has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Illan Meslier average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Illan Meslier is averaging 0.10 shots on target and 0.10 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Illan Meslier get booked?
Illan Meslier is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Illan Meslier commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Illan Meslier commits 0.00 fouls per 90 and wins 0.20 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Illan Meslier?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Illan Meslier plays as a goalkeeper.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.