Jefferson Lerma
Central midfielder 63% of 30 recent starts Crystal PalacePremier League 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jefferson Lerma has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Jefferson Lerma in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 86 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson LermaCrystal Palace | 31 | 0.99 | 1.30 |
| Carlos BalebaManchester United | 31 | 1.07 | 1.66 |
| Nico GonzálezNewcastle United | 25 | 0.80 | 1.71 |
| Douglas LuizJuventus | 21 | 1.05 | 1.24 |
| Tomáš SoučekWest Ham United | 35 | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Will HughesCrystal Palace | 31 | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| These 5, combined | 0.99 | 1.51 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Jefferson Lerma featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Leeds20 Sep | 45 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Ipswich12 Sep | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arsenal24 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Brentford17 May | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Man City13 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Everton10 May | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| West Ham20 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Newcastle12 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Leeds15 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Jefferson Lerma have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jefferson Lerma has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Jefferson Lerma average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Jefferson Lerma is averaging 0.14 shots on target and 1.01 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Jefferson Lerma get booked?
Jefferson Lerma is averaging 0.29 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Jefferson Lerma commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Jefferson Lerma commits 1.16 fouls per 90 and wins 2.02 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jefferson Lerma?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jefferson Lerma plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.