What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, João Félix has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games João Félix featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves20 Jan | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bournemouth14 Jan | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Ipswich30 Dec | 55 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham8 Dec | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Southampton4 Dec | 90 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Aston Villa1 Dec | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Leicester23 Nov | 81 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest6 Oct | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ West Ham21 Sep | 26 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth14 Sep | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does João Félix have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, João Félix has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does João Félix average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, João Félix is averaging 1.09 shots on target and 4.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does João Félix get booked?
João Félix is averaging 0.55 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does João Félix commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games João Félix commits 1.64 fouls per 90 and wins 4.38 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for João Félix?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. João Félix plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.