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SharpXI©
Premier League 25/26
KA

Kaoru Mitoma

Winger 87% of 30 recent starts BrightonPremier League 25/26

Next match
Brighton at Sunderland›
Sat 10 OctReferee Thomas Bramall

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.03 per 90
50%
5 of 101.5×
Total shots2.64 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
Fouls won1.61 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.7×
Fouls committed2.49 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.2×
Tackles1.32 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
10%
1 of 100.9×
Cards0.44 per 90
30%
3 of 103.5×
Goals0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Kaoru Mitoma has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Kaoru Mitoma in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Kaoru MitomaBrighton & Hove Albion 251.67 1.62
Kevin SchadeBrentford 351.86 1.63
Dango OuattaraBrentford 322.21 1.07
Marcus TavernierBournemouth 342.30 0.99
Jaidon AnthonyBrentford 371.80 0.92
John McGinnAston Villa 301.16 1.29
These 5, combined 1.89 1.18

Recent matches

The last 10 games Kaoru Mitoma featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Wolves9 May 58 0 3 1 2 1 1
@ Newcastle2 May 90 0 1 2 0 0 1
Chelsea21 Apr 82 1 3 2 1 1 0
@ Tottenham18 Apr 55 1 2 2 2 2 0
@ Burnley11 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 2 0
Liverpool21 Mar 14 1 1 2 1 0 0
Arsenal4 Mar 45 0 2 2 1 1 0
Nottingham Forest1 Mar 89 2 3 1 1 0 1
@ Brentford21 Feb 90 2 2 4 1 1 0
@ Aston Villa11 Feb 81 0 1 1 2 1 0
Officials on record
Stuart Attwell 9 games Kaoru Mitoma never booked 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league
Andy Madley 8 games Kaoru Mitoma booked in 2 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Peter Bankes 8 games Kaoru Mitoma never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Robert Jones 8 games Kaoru Mitoma never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Kaoru Mitoma have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Kaoru Mitoma has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Kaoru Mitoma average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Kaoru Mitoma is averaging 1.03 shots on target and 2.64 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Kaoru Mitoma get booked?

Kaoru Mitoma is averaging 0.44 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Kaoru Mitoma commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Kaoru Mitoma commits 2.49 fouls per 90 and wins 1.61 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Kaoru Mitoma?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Kaoru Mitoma plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.