What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Kieran Tierney has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
Kieran Tierney has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League full-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran TierneyCelticUEFA Europa League | 9 | 0.38 | 0.76 |
| Miloš KerkezLiverpool FC | 34 | 0.35 | 0.86 |
| Piero HincapiéArsenal | 25 | 0.15 | 0.90 |
| Ben WhiteArsenal | 12 | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| Lutsharel GeertruidaSunderland | 28 | 0.58 | 0.79 |
| Tino LivramentoNewcastle United | 17 | 0.20 | 0.47 |
| These 5, combined | 0.36 | 0.77 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Kieran Tierney featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Southampton25 May | 63 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Newcastle18 May | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool11 May | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace23 Apr | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Ipswich20 Apr | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brentford12 Apr | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Everton5 Apr | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Chelsea16 Mar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd9 Mar | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest26 Feb | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Kieran Tierney have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Kieran Tierney has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Kieran Tierney average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Kieran Tierney is averaging 0.36 shots on target and 0.71 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Kieran Tierney get booked?
Kieran Tierney is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Kieran Tierney commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Kieran Tierney commits 0.36 fouls per 90 and wins 0.71 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Kieran Tierney?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Kieran Tierney plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.