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Premier League 26/27
LU

Lucas Bergvall

Central midfielder 65% of 23 recent starts TottenhamPremier League 26/27

Next match
Tottenham at Manchester United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Stuart Attwell

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.36 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
2.95MGMEdge
Total shots1.07 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.55MGMEdge
Fouls won1.07 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.67bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.49 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
1.29bet365Edge
Tackles1.78 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
10%
1 of 101.0×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
2.88bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.36 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Lucas Bergvall has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Lucas Bergvall in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 86 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lucas BergvallTottenham Hotspur 231.10 2.21
Pape Matar SarrJuventus 261.09 1.87
Joe WillockNewcastle United 241.51 1.42
Tomáš SoučekWest Ham United 351.06 1.50
James MilnerBrighton & Hove Albion 200.90 1.68
Carlos BalebaManchester United 311.07 1.66
These 5, combined 1.11 1.62

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lucas Bergvall featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Aston Villa19 Sep 15 0 0 0 0 1 0
Everton12 Sep 27 1 1 1 1 1 0
@ Brentford22 Aug 45 0 0 0 0 1 0
Leeds11 May 9 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Aston Villa3 May 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Wolves25 Apr 27 0 0 1 1 1 0
Brighton18 Apr 14 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Sunderland12 Apr 61 0 0 4 0 0 0
Nottingham Forest22 Mar 45 0 1 1 1 0 0
West Ham17 Jan 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Jarred Gillett 7 games Lucas Bergvall never booked 3.85cards/game 0.94×vs league
Darren England 4 games Lucas Bergvall booked in 2 4.30cards/game 1.05×vs league
Samuel Barrott 4 games Lucas Bergvall booked in 2 3.92cards/game 0.96×vs league
John Brooks 4 games Lucas Bergvall never booked 4.59cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lucas Bergvall have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Lucas Bergvall has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lucas Bergvall average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Lucas Bergvall is averaging 0.36 shots on target and 1.07 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lucas Bergvall get booked?

Lucas Bergvall is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lucas Bergvall commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Lucas Bergvall commits 2.49 fouls per 90 and wins 1.07 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Bergvall?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Bergvall plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.